2024 Bulgarian parliamentary election

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2024 Bulgarian parliamentary election
Bulgaria
← 2023 9 June 2024[1]

All 240 seats in the National Assembly
121 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
GERB–SDS Boyko Borisov 69
PP–DB K. Petkov and A. Vasilev
A. Atanasov and H. Ivanov
64
Revival Kostadin Kostadinov 37
DPS D. Peevski and D. Chakarov 36
BSPzB Korneliya Ninova 23
ITN Slavi Trifonov 11
Incumbent Prime Minister
Dimitar Glavchev (caretaker)
Independent

Early parliamentary elections will be held in Bulgaria on 9 June 2024,[1][2] to elect members of the National Assembly. The election coincides with the European Parliament election on the same day.[1][2] This Bulgarian parliamentary election was initially scheduled to be held before 12 June 2027; however, as formation and approval of the rotation government scheduled to replace the Denkov Government failed on 20 March 2024, the Bulgarian President, Rumen Radev, announced after having concluded a further second and third failed attempt to form a government among the elected parties, that he would now appoint a new caretaker prime minister and caretaker government tasked to organize a new snap election. The election campaign has been scheduled to run from 10 May until 7 June.[3] The current 49th Parliament will stay in power until the newly elected candidates are sworn in after the election, but its normal working process was suspended by an adopted election recess on 27 April. While on election recess the 49th Parliament may still reconvene for an extraordinary sitting "in exceptional circumstances", as its Rules of Procedure say.[4] The elections will be the country's sixth since 2021, and the fifth snap election in the same timeframe.

Background[edit]

Following several snap elections, the Bulgarian National Assembly had failed to put together a long-lasting government since 'anti-corruption' parties made a breakthrough in the April 2021 election.[5][6] The 2023 election saw little change from 2022, with Boyko Borisov's centre-right GERB—SDS narrowly winning over the centrist PP–DB alliance. The far right Revival (VAZ) and the populist There is Such a People (ITN) made gains, with the latter re-entering the Assembly after it failed to reach the electoral threshold in the 2022 election.[7][8]

On 22 May 2023, the PP- and GERB-led alliances agreed to form a government with a rotational premiership. Nikolai Denkov, PP's candidate, would be the Prime Minister for the first nine months of the government and Mariya Gabriel, the GERB candidate, would serve as deputy prime minister and foreign affairs minister. After nine months, the two would switch positions.[9]

Denkov resigned in accordance with the rotation agreement on 5 March, to allow Gabriel to become the new Prime Minister.[10] On 20 March 2024, the planned government rotation and signing of a renewed government failed[why?].[11][12][13] Negotiations within the first negotiation mandate ensued across the end of March,[14][15][16][17] but failed to produce any workable governments[why?].[18][19][20]

Two further rounds of negotiations will follow. The constitution declares that after a first failed attempt of government formation, the President must then ask the second-largest party in parliament (PP–DB) to try and form a government; and if this also fails he shall then give a final third attempt to any remaining party of his choosing.[21] If all three stages of negotiations fail, it is likely that elections would be held on 9 June 2024, coinciding with the European Parliament election on the same day.[22]

PP–DB declared on 26 March, that they would accept giving a second negotiation mandate a try, but it would be limited to a negotiation attempt to form a government together with GERB–SDS that fully respected their original rotation agreement of 2023. The proposed negotiation framework would be for GERB–SDS to sign the reform agreement negotiated with PP–DB, while GERB–SDS nominates a mutually acceptable next Prime Minister, and the current structure of the cabinet has to be preserved. If GERB–SDS by a written letter refused this PP–DB proposal, the second negotiation mandate would immediately be returned unfulfilled to the President.[23] A few hours later, GERB–SDS refused this proposal and called for early elections.[24]

On 27 March, PP–DB officially returned the second negotiation mandate incomplete to the President, requesting that the President schedule early legislative elections on the same day as the 2024 European Parliament election.[25][26] President Radev decided the following day to give the third mandate for an attempted government formation to ITN, the smallest party in the 49th National Assembly.[27] The third mandate was immediately returned incomplete by ITN, without wasting any time on fruitless negotiation attempts.[28]

Under Article 99 of the Constitution, when no agreement on formation of a government has been reached after all three attempted negotiation mandates have been tried, the President, in consultation with the parliamentary groups and on the proposal of the candidate for caretaker prime minister, appoints a caretaker government and schedules new early elections within two months from its inauguration.[29] On 29 March, the President appointed the Chairman of the National Audit Office, Dimitar Glavchev, as a candidate for caretaker prime minister;[30] and he was granted a one week deadline of until 6 April to propose the composition of the caretaker government.[31]

On 5 April, Dimitar Glavchev presented his proposal for the caretaker government,[32] and after consultations being held the same day on whether it could be approved by the representatives of all political parties from the 49th National Assembly,[33] the President announced he would sign a decree on 9 April 2024 approving the caretaker PM and his caretaker government, and at the same time he would sign a decree setting the date for new parliamentary elections to 9 June 2024.[34] On 9 April, caretaker prime minister Glavchev and his cabinet was confirmed and inaugurated by the National Assembly,[35] and the election date was set by presidential decree to 9 June 2024.[1]

The Central Election Commission subsequently adopted a schedule for the elections, regulating that the election campaign will begin at 12 am on 10 May and will end at midnight on 7 June.[3]

The current 49th Parliament will stay in session at least until the election campaign begins, where a decision of election recess is expected to be adopted by Parliament. According to MP Ivaylo Vulchev [bg], some of his colleagues even considered — to his dismay — that Parliament should not go on election recess, but continue meeting during the election campaign while however only allowing discussed topics within the realm of "such that it does not look as if someone has started his election campaign from the rostrum."[36] The current 49th Parliament suspended its normal working process by an adopted election recess on 27 April. While on election recess the 49th Parliament may still reconvene for an extraordinary sitting "in exceptional circumstances", as its Rules of Procedure say. The yet to be elected 50th Parliament will replace the 49th Parliament as soon as the newly elected members are sworn in after the election.[4]

Parties[edit]

Parliamentary parties[edit]

The table below lists the political party groups represented in the 49th National Assembly.

Name Ideology Position Leader(s) 2023 result
Votes (%) Seats
GERB—SDS GERB—Union of Democratic Forces Conservatism Centre-right Boyko Borisov 25.39%
69 / 240
[a]
PP–DB We Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria Liberalism Centre to
centre-right
Kiril Petkov
Asen Vasilev
Hristo Ivanov
Atanas Atanasov
23.54%
64 / 240
[b]
Revival Revival Ultranationalism Far-right Kostadin Kostadinov 13.58%
37 / 240
DPS Movement for Rights and Freedoms Turkish minority interests Centre Delyan Peevski
Dzhevdet Chakarov
13.18%
36 / 240
BSPzB BSP for Bulgaria Social democracy Centre-left Korneliya Ninova 8.56%
23 / 240
ITN There is Such a People Populism Right-wing Slavi Trifonov 3.94%
11 / 240
  1. ^ GERB 66, SDS 2, DG 1
  2. ^ PP 36, DaB! 13, DSB 10, ZD 3, Volt 1, SEK 1

Contesting parties and coalitions[edit]

Bellow is the official list of parties and coalitions that registered lists for the Bulgarian Parliamentary elections.[37]

Independent candidates (specific elections)[edit]

The independent candidate Kuzman Iliev has stated that he will participate only in the elections for the European Parliament.

# Party or coalition Ideology Leader 2023 result
Votes (%) Seats
1 There is Such a People Right-wing populism Slavi Trifonov 3.94%
11 / 240
2 Peoples Voice Right-wing populism Svetoslav Vitkov 0.21%
0 / 240
3 Blue Bulgaria Conservative Union of the Right National conservatism
Anti-communism
Petar Moskov 0.29%
0 / 240
National Movement for Stability and Progress Liberalism Stanimir Ilchev 0.25%
0 / 240
Bulgarian Democratic Forum [bg] National conservatism
Anti-communism
Zhaklin Toleva [bg] DNP
Movement for Democratic Action-DZ Liberal conservatism Stefan Ivanov
Bulgaria for Citizens Movement Liberalism Jordan Jordanov [bg]
Conservative Bulgaria National conservatism Boris Yachev
Radical-Democratic Party Social conservatism
Anti-communism
Zahari Petrov
Bulgarian New Democracy Liberal conservatism Valeri Georgiev
Agrarian People's Union Agrarianism
Conservatism
Rumen Yonchev
4 We Citizens Bulgarian Spring [bg] Left-wing nationalism Svetoslav Mandikov DNP
Bulgarian Workers-Peasant Party Marxism-Leninism Georgi Ivanov
Yordan Maldzhanski
Competence, Responsibility and Truth [bg] Populism Svetozar Saev [bg] Out of EU and NATO [bg]
Natsiya  [bg] Ultranationalism
Hard Euroscepticism
Kiril Gumnerov [bg]
5 Independent candidate Kuzman Iliev DNP
6 Bulgarian Voice Bulgarian Voice Bulgarian nationalism Georgi Popov DNP
Alternative for Bulgaria National conservatism Nikolay Drenchev [bg] New
7 Coalition of the Rose [bg] Bulgarian Social Democracy-EuroLeft Social Democracy Aleksandr Tomov 0.10%
0 / 240
United Block of Labour [bg] Social democracy
Labourism
Yekaterina Atanasova DNP
Patriotism 2000
8 Center Svovoda [bg] Bulgarian nationalism Vladimir Simeonov DNP
Bulgarian Agrarian Party Agrarianism
National Movement "Center" Anti-corruption
Populism
Darin Drosev New
9 Solidarity Bulgaria Bulgarian Left Democratic socialism Boyan Kirov DNP
United Social-Democracy [bg] Social democracy Yordan Gergov
Stand Up.BG Social democracy
Left-wing populism
Maya Manolova Left!
Normal State [bg] Social democracy Georgi Kadiev [bg]
Solidarity Bulgaria Social democracy Vanya Grigorova New
10 Unification Centrism
Liberalism
Ivan Hristanov [bg] New
11 Bulgarian National Unification Bulgarian nationalism
National conservatism
Georgi Georgiev-Goti [bg] 0.09%
0 / 240
12 Revival Ultranationalism
Right-wing populism
Kostadin Kostadinov 13.58%
37 / 240
13 Morality, Unity, Honour Anti-corruption
Social conservatism
Radostin Vasilev [bg] New
14 PP–DB We Continue the Change Liberalism
Anti-corruption
Kiril Petkov
Asen Vasilev
23.53%
64 / 240
Volt Bulgaria European federalism
Pro-Europeanism
Nastimir Ananiev
Democrats for a Strong Bulgaria Conservatism
Anti-communism
Atanas Atanasov
Yes, Bulgaria! Liberalism
Anti-corruption
Hristo Ivanov
15 People's Party "Truth and Only the Truth" [bg] Anti-vaccination
Ultranationalism
Ventsislav Angelov [bg] 0.29%
0 / 240
16 Bulgarian Rise National conservatism Stefan Yanev 2.93%
0 / 240
17 Citizens Block Bulgarian Democratic Union-Radicals Bulgarian nationalism DNP
Party of Bulgarian Women Women's issues Vesela Draganova
Citizens Block Anti-corruption
Social conservatism
Ivan Geshev New
18 Society for a New Bulgaria [bg] Social conservatism Margarit Mitsev DNP
19 The Left! Alternative for Bulgarian Revival Social democracy
Moderate social conservatism
Rumen Petkov 2.14%
0 / 240
ex-BSP faction Social democracy Valeri Zhablyanov [bg]
Movement 21 Social democracy Tatyana Doncheva
Agrarian Union "Aleksandar Stamboliyski" Agrarianism Spas Panchev [bg]
Green Party of Bulgaria Green politics Marina Dragomiretskaya DNP
Political Movement "Social Democrats" Social democracy Yelena Noneva
National Movement for the Salvation of the Fatherland Left-wing nationalism Todor Rashev
20 Party of the Greens [bg] Green politics
Left-wing nationalism
Vladimir Nikolov Together Bulgaria [bg]
21 We Are Coming Liberalism Mariya Kapon [bg] DNP
22 GERB—SDS GERB Social conservatism
Pro-Europeanism
Boyko Borisov 25.39%
63 / 240
SDS Christian democracy
Anti-communism
Rumen Hristov
George's Day Movement National conservatism
Bulgarian nationalism
Lyuben Dilov Jr.
23 Bulgarian National Union Ultranationalism Boyan Rasate [bg] 0.07%
0 / 240
24 BSP for Bulgaria BSP Social conservatism
Social democracy
Korneliya Ninova 8.56%
23 / 240
Ecoglasnost Green politics
Environmentalism
Emil Georgiev [bg]
Political Club "Trakiya" [bg] Left wing nationalism Stefan Nachev
MIR [bg] Left-wing nationalism Simeon Slavchev [bg] 0.15%
0 / 240
25 Velichie Bulgarian nationalism
Anti-corruption
Nikolay Markov New
26 VMRO National conservatism
Bulgarian nationalism
Krasimir Karakachanov DNP
27 Political Party Direct Democracy  [bg] Bulgarian nationalism
Direct democracy
Petar Klisarov [bg] DNP
28 Movement for Rights and Freedoms Turkish minority interests
Liberalism
Delyan Peevski
Dzhevdet Chakarov
13.18%
36 / 240
29 Green Movement Green liberalism
Green politics
Toma Belev [bg]
Daniela Bozhinova [bg]
PP–DB
30 For a Great Bulgaria Bulgarian nationalism Kamen Popov New
31 Bulgarian Union for Direct Democracy [bg] Direct democracy Georgi Nedelchev [bg] 0.23%
0 / 240
32 Neutral Bulgaria Russophiles for the
Revival of the Fatherland
Russophilia
National conservatism
Nikolay Malinov [bg] 0.4%
0 / 240
Bulgarian Communist Party [bg] Communism Zonka Spasova
Party of the Bulgarian Communists Communism
Marxism–Leninism
Collective leadership
Communist Party of Bulgaria Marxism–Leninism Alexander Paunov DNP


Campaign[edit]

Campaign slogans[edit]

The following list present the official campaign slogans of some of the major parties that contested the 2024 Bulgarian parliamentary election:

Party/alliance Original slogan English translation Ref.
GERBSDS „За стабилна България в сигурна Европа“ "For a stable Bulgaria in a secure Europe" [38]
PPDB „Българите срещу скритата власт. Битката продължава!“ "Bulgarians against the hidden power. The battle continues!"
Revival „Възраждаме България/Европа“ "We are reviving Bulgaria/Europe"
DPS „Заедно с хората“ "Together with the people" [39]
BSPzB „За достойна България в мирна Европа“ "For a dignified Bulgaria in a peaceful Europe"
ITN „Да върнем здравия разум“ "Lets bring back common sense" [40]
BV „За възходът на България в силна и обединена Европа” "For the rise of Bulgaria in a strong and united Europe" [41]
Solidarity Bulgaria „Време е за хората“ "It's time for the people"
Blue Bulgaria „Защото има смисъл“ "Because it makes sense"

Allegations of corruption and improper political behaviour[edit]

Customs Agency Scandal[edit]

On 3 April, shortly after the breakdown of government formations, the head of the Customs Agency, Petya Bankova, along with her deputy, and two Haskovo residents (Marin and Stefan Dimitrov) were arrested in relation to their alleged participation in an organised criminal group for the contraband of black market tobacco products through Bulgaria, in a joint operation by DANS and the Commission to Combat Corruption.[42] Shortly after the arrests, Secretary of the Ministry of Interior, Zhivko Kotsev, was announced to have resigned, with PP-DB leaders insinuating that his resignation was likely to have been coerced.[43] A day later, Kotsev announced that he was withdrawing his resignation in a joint-briefing with acting Prime Minister, Nikolay Denkov and claimed that his resignation had been coerced.[44]

In the following days, a number of leaks were made to the press, which included images of the suspects—Stefan and Marin Dimitrov—together with PP MP and former Minister of Interior, Boyko Rashkov as well as incumbent Secretary of the Ministry of Interior, Zhivko Kotsev.[45] The parliament formed a commission which aimed to investigate the scandal, controversially establishing one of its aims as being to "investigate the role of Finance Minister Asen Vasilev" in the corruption scandal.[46]

On 11 April, the comission heard the testimony of incumbent Minister of Interior, Kalin Stoyanov, who confirmed reports that Boyko Rashkov had been acquainted with two of the suspects in the case and claimed that Asen Vasilev, among others, had attempted to pressure him to (re-)appoint Hadzhiev as head of the Haskovo Police Department.[47] Stoyanov's testimony was met with criticism from PP-DB figures, specifically, Boyko Rashkov, who alleged in an interview with Radio Free Europe, that Stoyanov was also involved in the scandal and that the customs agency corruption case was meant as a cover up other notable cases of impropriety within the Bulgarian legal system (ex. the recent assassination of criminal figure, Martin Bozhanov).[48]

The committee also included testimony from DANS Chief Plamen Tonchev, who was criticised by PP-DB MPs for admitting that the case against Bankova had been ongoing for a number of years, claiming, therefore, that her arrest had been made intentionally prior to the election to attack their party.[49] Vasilev also appeared before the committee, denying any wrong doing or connections with the named suspects.[50]

On 25 April, the committee published its report, which claimed to prove Asen Vasilev's role within the scheme.[51]

The events of the scandal, despite occurring outside the election campaign period, were identified by some analysts as signalling the "beginning" of the pre-election campaign.[52] Additionally, the scandal was often used in the campaign, particularly by ITN, in order to attack PP-DB.[53]

"Turkish Stream" Gas Pipeline scandal[edit]

In early March, an alleged copy of the roadmap for the construction of the TurkStream (also known as the "Balkan Stream) gas pipeline through Bulgaria was released by the investigative newspaper, BG Elves.[54] The alleged leak seemed to suggest that the main role in the construction of the pipeline was undertaken by Russian firms, additionally it demonstrated that the pipelines construction, which had been approved by the Third Borisov Government directly served Russian interests.[55]

The leak led to criticism of GERB by PP-DB, accusing them of helping Russia build a new pathway circumventing Ukraine, thus enabling the Russian invasion of Ukraine.[56] A parliamentary committee was formed to investigate the leak, however, its work ended up being hindered due to partisan gridlock between PP-DB and GERB, with PP-DB alleging that GERB was attempting to obstruct the committee's work.[57]

Audio-tape leaks[edit]

As had occured previously during the government formation of the Denkov Government, audio-leaks relating to the PP leadership occured in the run up to the election. One audio-leak was published on the online newspaper, Afera, which was allegedly from a meeting of the PP leadership prior to the 2023 Bulgarian parliamentary election, in which PP leaders allegedly discussed methods of illegally financing their election campaign.[58] While PP-DB representatives did not deny the veracity of the recording, they claimed that the tapes had been taken out of context and were proof that Bulgarian security services were participating in a campaign against the party.[59]

Borisov-Peevski Billboard[edit]

As part of their campaign, PP-DB released a billboard containing the image of former Prime Minister Denkov, on one side, and the leaders of GERB and DPS, Borisov and Peevski, on the other, with a sign asking "who do you want to be Prime Minister?". The sign was promptly removed after a legal complaint by GERB, who claimed the billboard denigrated the person of Boyko Borisov.[60] In a campaign meeting, Borisov called Denkov's behaviour as offensive, and claimed that this demonstrated that Denkov was unfit to be Prime Minister.[61]

A few days after that, PP-DB returned the billboards "who do you want to be Prime Minister?", but now in front of Nikolay Denkov are not the faces of Boyko Borisov and Delyan Peevski, but only silhouettes.

Public finances[edit]

During the election campaign, GERB, specifically Delyan Dobrev consistently criticised the policies of Asen Vasilev, accusing him of increasing the public debt and increasing inflation, while not doing enough to attract investment.[62] Borisov declared that if GERB were to come to power they would implement a more "strict" fiscal policy.[63]

PP-DB, on the other hand, defended the track record of Asen Vasilev, pointing to an increase in incomes.[64] They further accused GERB of trying to add spending outside of that set aside by the budget in order to sabotage Bulgaria's entrance into the Eurozone.[65]

Parties on the left, such as BSP, Levitsata and Solidarity Bulgaria, generally supported the implementation of a progressive tax system, with BSP, for example, advocating for a tax break for all those under 26.[66]

The right-wing coalition, Blue Bulgaria, called for less state involvement in the economy, with government finance instead being focused on healthcare, education and security.[67]

Foreign policy[edit]

One of the key policy issues which dominated the elections was Bulgaria's position on the Russian invasion of Ukraine. A number of parties (specifically, Revival, BSP, Levitsata! and Soldiarity Bulgaria) advocated for Bulgaria to not send lethal aid to Ukraine and supported the removal of the sanctions against the Russian Federation.

Post-election government formation[edit]

Due to the continous political instability in Bulgaria, ever since the April 2021 Bulgarian parliamentary election, post-election government formations were one of the key topics of the election campaign.

GERB-SDS, shortly after the announcing the end of negotiations for a successor to the Denkov Government, had indicated that they would re-initiate negotiations with PP–DB, albeit conditional on a "new approach" from the PP–DB leadership.[68] However, GERB's tone towards PP–DB shifted throughout the pre-campaign period, especially after PP–DB supported a motion to remove Rosen Zhelyazkov as speaker of the National Assembly, with Borisov openly stating following the vote that he did not see renewed cooperation with PP–DB as likely.[69] Inspite of this, GERB leader, Boyko Borisov, also made clear that GERB would not form a coalition government solely with DPS.[70] On the 24th of May, Borisov announced that GERB should take a "leading role" in any future government.[71]

PP–DB have expressed a willingness to negotiate a coalition government with GERB following the upcoming elections, however excluded the possibility of any involvement from Delyan Peevski in a future government, thus excluding the Movement for Rights and Freedoms.[72] During an interview with BTV, former Prime Minister, Nikolay Denkov, stated that PP-DB would not form a government which involved either Boyko Borisov or Delyan Peevski.[73]

DPS co-leader, Peevski, on his part, did not exclude DPS' participation in either a GERB-led or PP–DB led government, claiming he had a stable working relationship with both PP leader, Kiril Petkov, and GERB leader, Boyko Borisov.[74]

A number of parties promised during the campaign period promised they would not enter any informal governing arrangements with GERB, DPS or PP–DB. Specifically, BSP leader, Korneliya Ninova, highlighted her party as the "only one" which had not engaged in any such deals with GERB.[75] Solidarity Bulgaria MP-Candidate, and Stand Up.BG leader, Maya Manolova promised that Solidarity, if they entered parliament, would not govern with GERB, DPS or PP–DB.[76]

Reliability of election results[edit]

Opinion polls[edit]

Local regression of polls conducted, excluding "none of the above"

The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.

121 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample GERB—SDS PP–DB Revival DPS BSPzB ITN BV Left SBG SB Others NOTA Lead Govt. Opp.
Mediana 25 May-1 June 2024 990 28.6
81
12.9
37
14.9
42
13.5
38
8.6
25
6.3
17
1.6
0
3.2
0
3.0
0
3.4
0
4.0 13.7
Mediana 12-18 May 2024 978 27.5
77
13.7
38
15.7
44
14.2
39
9
25
6.2
17
1.2
0
2.9
0
2.7
0
3.1
0
3.8[a] 11.8
Trend 11-18 May 2024 1003 26.1
74
15.4
43
14.8
42
14.9
42
8.5
24
5.5
15
1.2
0
1.4
0
2.4
0
1.8
0
8[b] 5.1 10.7
Sova Harris 8-13 May 2024 1000 26.6
73
16.1
45
15.3
42
15
41
9.1
24
5.4
15
1.4
0
3.8
0
2.1
0
4.3[c] 10.5
Market Links 27 Apr-9 May 2024 28.4
80
19.3
55
14
39
14.4
41
9.2
25
3.6
0
2
0
1.5
0
4.1 3.6 9.1
Alpha Research 24 Apr-2 May 2024 1000 25.4
71
17.5
49
14.6
41
14.9
41
8.5
24
5.2
14
1.3
0
1.9
0
2.6
0
2.5
0
5.6 7.9
Gallup 22 Apr-2 May 2024 808 26.5
74
16.4
45
15.1
42
15.4
43
8.4
23
4.7
13
2.5
0
1.5
0
9.5[d] 10.1
Trend 12 Apr–19 Apr 2024 1002 24.9
73
15.5
45
14.2
41
14.4
42
9.1
26
4.8
13
1.7
0
1.8
0
6.6 6.9 9.4
Exacta 11 Apr–18 Apr 2024 1020 25.9
73
16.4
46
13.8
39
14.0
40
9.6
27
5.2
15
7.7 7.4 9.5
Market Links 30 Mar–7 Apr 2024 1046 25.5 17.1 10.3
11.8
8.7
3.9
22.7[e] 8.4
Gallup International 28 Mar–5 Apr 2024 805 27.4
73
17.9
47
14.9
39
15.2
40
10.5
28
5.2
13
8.9 9.5
Mar 2024 The Denkov Government resigns. A snap election is scheduled for 9 June
Gallup International 29 Feb–8 Mar 2024 810 26.4
69
19.6
52
14.8
39
14.7
39
10.6
28
5.1
13
8.8 6.8 46.0 54.0
Alpha Research 27 Feb–3 Mar 2024 1000 27.0
71
21.9
58
14.6
38
11.0
29
10.9
29
5.8
15
8.8 5.1 48.9 51.1
Market Links 24 Feb–3 Mar 2024 1058 27.9
77
21.2
58
10.8
29
15.0
41
8.8
24
3.9
11[f]
8.2 3.7 6.7 49.1 46.6
24 Feb 2024 Delyan Peevski and Dzhevdet Chakarov are elected as co-chairmen of DPS
Market Links 26 Jan–4 Feb 2024 1016 27.7
76
20.0
55
11.5
31
14.1
39
9.9
27
4.4
12
7.7 4.7 7.7 47.7 47.6
Trend 17–24 Jan 2024 1016 24.8
70
17.8
50
14.6
41
13.8
39
9.6
27
4.8
13
1.8
0
1.9
0
3.9 7.0 7.0 42.6 50.4
Mediana 7–13 Dec 2023 978 22.9
68
15.6
46
13.5
40
12.2
36
11.3
33
5.9
17
1.5
0
3.5
0
3.6 10.0 7.3 38.5 51.5
Alpha Research 22–30 Nov 2023 1000 25.9
68
21.1
55
14.4
38
12.8
34
11.4
30
5.8
15
8.6 4.8 47.0 53.0
Market Links 10–19 Nov 2023 1014 26.3
71
20.1
54
12.8
35
14.4
39
10.5
29
4.5
12
7.0 4.2 6.2 46.4 49.4
Trend 11–18 Nov 2023 1006 24.7
70
17.9
50
15.4
43
13.3
38
9.4
27
4.4
12
2.0
0
1.9
0
3.6 7.4 6.8 42.6 50.0
Market Links 26 Sept–8 Oct 2023 1032 27.1
78
20.1
58
12.7
37
14.2
41
9.1
26
3.2
0
7.0 6.8 7.0 47.2 46.0
Trend 2–8 Sept 2023 1002 24.9
70
18.3
51
16.1
45
13.4
38
8.7
24
4.2
12
2.1
0
1.9
0
3.9 6.5 6.6 43.2 50.3
Market Links 11–18 Aug 2023 1012 26.2
70
21.7
58
12.8
34
15.1
41
8.3
22
5.4
15
7.2 3.0 4.5 47.9 48.8
Mediana 18–24 Jul 2023 976 23.3
67
18.0
51
15.4
44
12.9
37
9.0
26
5.4
15
2.5
0
2.1
0
2.0[g] 9.3 5.3 41.3 49.3
Trend 4–11 Jul 2023 1001 24.8
70
19.1
54
15.5
43
13.7
38
8.6
24
4.0
11
1.8
0
1.9
0
4.3 6.3 5.7 43.9 49.8
Gallup International 29 Jun–9 Jul 2023 809 26.4
69
21.8
57
14.9
39
14.5
38
9.7
26
4.3
11
2.0
0
6.4 4.6 48.2 51.8
CAM 3–7 Jul 2023 1021 26.2
74
21.4
61
14.5
41
13.4
38
9.0
26
3.7
0
1.8
0
1.8
0
3.7 4.5 4.8 47.6 47.9
Market Links 22 Jun–2 Jul 2023 1011 27.5
75
20.9
57
13.8
38
17.0
46
8.9
24
3.8
0
3.6 4.6 6.6 48.4 47.0
Alpha Research 20–26 Jun 2023 1000 25.1
70
20.2
56
15.4
43
12.6
35
8.8
25
4.1
11
2.7
0
7.5 3.6 4.9 45.3 51.1
Exacta 12–20 Jun 2023 1040 24.4
67
20.1
56
14.8
41
13.2
37
9.5
26
4.8
13
1.9
0
1.8
0
3.6 5.9 4.3 44.5 49.6
Trend 10–16 Jun 2023 1008 24.9
69
19.4
54
15.3
43
13.5
37
8.9
25
4.3
12
2.2
0
1.9
0
3.8 5.8 5.5 44.3 49.9
6 June 2023 The Denkov Government is sworn in
Gallup International 27 Apr–5 May 2023 803 26.8
69
24.1
62
14.7
38
13.9
36
9.1
24
4.1
11
3.2
0
1.5
0
2.6 4.3[h] 2.7 50.9 49.1
2023 election 2 Apr 2023 26.5
69
24.6
64
14.2
37
13.8
36
8.9
23
4.1
11
3.1
0
2.2[i]
0
0.55[j]
0
2.6 1.9 51.1 48.9%
  1. ^ Includes VMRO at 1.3%
  2. ^ Includes VMRO at 1.1%
  3. ^ Includes VMRO at 1.5%, CENTER at 1.4% and Citizens Block at 0.7%
  4. ^ Includes VMRO at 1.1%
  5. ^ As the full data for this poll was not released, it is possible that it includes undecided and uncertain voters. Recalculating the data to only include the numbers for the listed parties may be advised. Market Links often include undecided voters in their final results
  6. ^ ITN are given seats in the Assembly despite being seemingly below the threshold as None of the above votes do not count towards the threshold.
  7. ^ Justice for Bulgaria with 1.0%, "Other" with 1.0%
  8. ^ This poll reported the percentage respondents do not support any party, however the rest of the data was recalculated to exclude these percentages
  9. ^ ISBG, contested the 2023 parliamentary elections with the Left! and went on to run with Solidarity Bulgaria
  10. ^ Result of NDSV and KOD, two members of the Blue Bulgaria coalition

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